Thursday, 30 August 2007

120 Labour MPs demand EU referendum

Gordon Brown is facing a deepening party split over Europe after it became clear that more than 120 Labour MPs, including several senior ministers, want a referendum on the new EU reform treaty.

  • Changes to EU treaty sought by Labour MPs
  • Sign the Telegraph EU referendum petition

  • Jack Straw:  Threat to Gordon Brown as 120 MPs demand EU poll
    Justice Secretary Jack Straw is thought to be sympathetic to the Labour rebels

    The figure - more than a third of the Parliamentary Party - was disclosed by Ian Davidson, a Scottish Labour MP who, despite being close to Mr Brown, is co-ordinating the strong internal campaign for the British people to be given a say.

    Mr Davidson, who has written to Mr Brown on behalf of the Labour rebels demanding major changes to the proposed EU Treaty - or alternatively a referendum - told The Daily Telegraph that support among his fellow MPs was running at levels similar to 2004 when Tony Blair had to give way and promise a plebiscite.

    "On the basis of the soundings and conversations I have had with colleagues, the support for a referendum is similar to last time round when well over 120 Labour MPs publicly or privately backed a referendum," Mr Davidson said.

    It is understood that several senior ministers are privately supporting the campaign.

    Some Labour MPs claim that Jack Straw, the Justice Secretary, is among those sympathetic to the rebels, believing that the party cannot claim to be more in tune with voters' concerns and more ready to listen than under Mr Blair, while denying them a say on relations with the EU.


    It was Mr Straw who, as foreign secretary, persuaded Mr Blair to promise a referendum on the defunct constitutional treaty in Labour's 2005 general election manifesto.

    Since becoming Prime Minister, Mr Brown has insisted that a referendum is not necessary because the replacement treaty - negotiated by Mr Blair in his last act as prime minister on the foreign stage - is less far-reaching than its predecessor. This was rejected in 2005 by French and Dutch voters and therefore never came into force.

    However, his claim has incensed Labour rebels who have found common cause with several unions, and the Tories. All insist that the two treaties are virtually the same in all but name - and that as a result Labour should honour its 2005 election pledge.

    More than 60,000 people have signed up to The Daily Telegraph campaign for a referendum.

    In the letter to Mr Brown, Mr Davidson writes that the new treaty, which strengthens all the main EU institutions, is "virtually identical" to the Constitutional Treaty "and that we are therefore bound by our manifesto commitment to give the people a say before ratification".

    He demands 12 reforms - which other EU leaders will refuse to accept - as the price for dropping his campaign.

    These include keeping policing and criminal justice issues outside the remit of the European Court of Justice and scrapping plans for an EU foreign policy supremo with a back-up diplomatic service.

    The rebellion is said to have caused deep alarm to Mr Brown who fears the party will appear as split over Europe as the Tories were in the 1980s and 1990s.

    Government whips are said to have been telephoning Labour backbenchers warning them that their careers will be under threat if they go public to back the pro-referendum campaign.

    Last night, senior union sources said they understood Mr Brown would try to avoid defeat on the referendum issue at next month's TUC Congress by promising that British workers would enjoy protection equal to other EU workers.

    Several unions are supporting motions to the TUC calling for a referendum on the grounds that Britain has secured an effective opt-out from the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights, which ministers feared would strengthen their position, including the right to strike.

    Some Labour MPs believe Mr Brown may be increasingly tempted to call an early election if the EU referendum campaign continues to gather pace. One idea is that he could include a commitment to ratify the treaty in the election manifesto and, if he wins, use this to say he has a mandate not to call a referendum.

    Labour MPs say the rebel group is made up of MPs from all wings of the party. It ranges from members of the 40-strong Campaign Group of Left-wingers to moderates such as the former minister Gisela Stuart, who was appointed by Labour to negotiate the original constitutional treaty.

    The old hand at stirring rebellions

    Ian Davidson is an old hand at stirring Labour rebellions over Europe - and every time he does so he seems to be successful.

    The 57-year-old MP for Glasgow South West first made his Euro-sceptic presence felt when he set up and chaired the Labour Against the Euro group in 2001, when Tony Blair was still determined to take Britain into the single currency.

    Then, he was on the same side as his good friend Gordon Brown, who was also hell bent on preventing Mr Blair from ditching the pound. Mr Brown - and Mr Davidson - won that battle.

    Three years later Mr Davidson helped co-ordinate Labour pressure for a referendum on the Constitutional Treaty in defiance of party policy.

    A few weeks ago, he was at it again, and finding as much, if not more, interest. He now plans to expand the campaign, and is hoping for a hat-trick.


    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/28/neu128.xml

    Setback for Brown’s housing targets

    Plans for 3m new homes in the UK will be dealt a blow on Wednesday by an official report recommending a lower rate of housebuilding growth for the south-east, the region at the heart of Gordon Brown’s plans to increase home ownership.

    The prime minister is keen to see swaths of new estates, not only in “regeneration” areas such as the Thames Gateway and Milton Keynes, but right across the Home Counties.

    But the pace of that expansion may be held back after publication on Wednesday of a report on the south-east by three government inspectors appointed to assess the viability of that region’s development strategy.

    The report says 32,000 new homes a year should be built over the next two decades, equal to 640,000 by 2026.

    Although ahead of the 28,900 proposed by the region’s local assembly, the recommendation is behind the target of up to 38,000 homes a year set by the Government Office for the South East, which represents central government in the area. The 38,000 figure is in line with last month’s housing green paper, which lifted the government’s house building target to 3m new homes by 2020.

    If Mr Brown wants to meet this target in the south-east, he may have to override the advice of the independent inspectors as well as local councils opposed to ad hoc development. The inspectors make clear that the figures in the report are targets, not ceilings.

    But Henry Smith, chairman of the South East County Leaders, claimed: “Gordon Brown’s plans to impose millions of new homes on the south-east are in tatters after the government’s own planning inspectors rejected them.”

    The proposals had been “impetuous and ill thought-out”.

    In a further setback for the government, the inspectors say it is not possible for the nation to build its way out of the affordability crisis. “We cannot say whether there would be any discernible benefit at the regional level on affordability from our recommended increase in housing levels,” says the report.

    Government-appointed inspectors are yet to report back on the strategies of England’s other regional assemblies. East Anglia’s report last year demanded a big increase in its housebuilding and others may do likewise.

    A spokesman for the Department for Communities and Local Government said it was within central government’s power to make changes to the plan while taking on board the panel’s advice, the housing green paper and “any other evidence”. The government is still consulting on the green paper.

    The south-east is the fastest-growing region of the UK, reflecting increased immigration and the economic strength of London.

    The panel’s report avoids any large review of the area’s Green Belt, but concludes that some sites could contribute to development. The panel stays out of the flooding debate, saying this is an issue for local councils.


    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b5b11a00-55aa-11dc-b971-0000779fd2ac.html

    Why Gordon Brown’s poll lead is slipping

    Latest polls show the Brown honeymoon coming to an end. The idea that he is new and different has taken several knocks in the last few weeks.

    Our troops are still fighting in difficult conditions in Iraq. Hopes that Gordon Brown would bring them home early have been dashed, whilst he also seems unwilling to reinforce or protect them properly.

    The credit crunch and continuing higher interest rates have reminded people that economic management has not been good in recent times. People are feeling the pinch from Brown’s higher taxes and money squeeze. Conservative plans for tax cuts got a great welcome, as people are fed up with paying more but not getting value for money.

    Some hospital Maternity and A and E departments are still under threat of closure, depsite all the money being spent, reminding people just how much waste there is and how they are not getting what they want from all the tax paid.

    Recent violent crime has reminded people that “tough on crime, tough on the causes of crime” was just a slogan.The Home Secretary has not looked as if she knows what to do to curb violence.

    In summary, it looks like business as usual from Blair’s deputy. Tony may have been airbrushed out of the script by the spin doctors, but until there are some decisive changes in policy and direction people will not buy the idea that this is a new government with something good to offer.

    It is unlikely Brown will go for an early general election against this background.

    If I were advising Gordon Brown on going early I would say do the following:

    1. Withdraw the troops as soon as possible from Iraq, notifying our US allies and leaving a few people to assist with further training of the Iraqi security services.
    2. Announce an end to A&E and maternity unit closures, and the expensive reconfigurations that go with them.
    3. Announce more community based policing with visible police presence in the worst areas for anti social behaviour, drug dealing and violent crime, cutting the paperwork and less important issues to create more police time
    4. State that tax reduction and reform on Irish lines will be important to finding jobs for the 5.4 million out of work, and stimulating the economy in the slow growth parts of the UK.
    4. Announce a Referendum on the Constitution on the same day as an early General Election.

    Anything less invites disappointment at the polls.


    http://www.johnredwoodsdiary.com/2007/08/28/why-gordon-browns-poll-lead-is-slipping/

    Brown accused of trying to stifle debate at Labour conference

    Gordon Brown is facing his first serious clash with Labour's rank and file amid claims that he is attempting to quash debate in the party.

    Union leaders and party left-wingers have warned that they will be stripped of the right to put forward emergency motions to the party conference.

    A string of so-called "contemporary resolutions" has caused headaches for the Labour leadership in recent years, provoking embarrassing conference clashes over issues from Iraq to foundation hospitals. This year activists are working to secure debate on a potentially controversial motion on council housing.

    But activists have accused Mr Brown of trying to push potentially divisive debates off the main agenda by removing the right of local parties to table hostile conference motions and instead refer issues to the party's national policy forum. Under the plans, published within days of Mr Brown taking over from Tony Blair as Labour leader, unions and local parties will be able to submit a "contemporary issue", rather than a formal motion, for debate. Issues would be debated on the conference floor, and would be referred to the party's national policy forum. Final policy documents will be approved by a ballot of all party members.

    But critics say the change, due to be debated at the party's conference next month, would abolish the traditional votes on contemporary issues that have been a lightning rod for discontent in Labour's rank and file. There are also concerns that the reforms will strip the Labour conference of its role as the party's supreme policy-making body.

    John McDonnell, chairman of the Socialist Campaign Group of MPs, said: "I think they will have to pull back. People see this as the last vestige of democracy in the party. People realise if we go down on this one there is really little remaining for democracy." A member of the party's national policy forum added: "The thing that really concerns people is that conference will no longer be regarded as the sovereign body.''

    The Campaign for Labour Party Democracy, an internal pressure group, said giving party members a final say on all policy documents without giving any opportunity for them to be amended "would undermine the sovereignty of conference, be expensive and divisive".

    A party consultation document said the system of contemporary motion debates at conference was not working. It said: "There is a feeling across the party that on one hand, the process has been used to bypass the deliberative and consensual platform carefully agreed by the national policy forum over the years and on the other the process has also left many members feeling issues of interest or concern to them have not been listened to."

    Further evidence of problems for Mr Brown emerged yesterday as he was accused of trying to "buy off" union critics with public sector pay deals that breach the 2 per cent pay ceiling announced by Mr Brown in March. A deal announced this week offers 2.45 per cent to council workers with rises of 3.4 per cent for the poorest paid. Earlier this month Alan Johnson, the Health Secretary, offered a flat £400-a-year rise to the lowest-paid NHS staff as part of a 2.08 per cent deal.

    Chris Grayling, shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions, said: "This clearly smacks of an attempt by Gordon Brown to do something to buy off the unions to avoid trouble at the TUC and Labour Party conferences. The truth is that the unions are stronger today in the Labour Party than they have been for some time.''

    A Treasury spokesman denied the Government had made a U-turn. He insisted settlements for local authorities and JobCentre staff were within pay limits.

    http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article2900997.ece

    More Labour sleaze, surprise surprise

    More Labour sleaze, surprise surprise

    We are not surprised to learn - from a number of sources, including Noman Tahir and the Sunday Times (hat tip: Osama Saeed who has written a fascinating article on the subject) - that Labour is embroiled in a new sleaze scandal. An alleged front organisation, Muslim Friends of Labour, apparently gave £300,000 to the Labour Party. According to the Sunday Times,

    “Imran Khand, a Glasgow-based entrepreneur, is revealed as a leading financial backer behind Muslim Friends … As his money is paid to Muslim Friends - rather than directly to the Labour party - his identity has until now remained secret. The Electoral Commission is probing whether Labour has broken laws on the disclosure of donations by hiding the true source of its financing. Khand is a close associate of Mohammad Sarwar, the controversial Labour MP who chairs the organisation…”

    This is an unauspicious start to Gordon Brown’s premiership and Wendy Alexander’s leadership of Scottish Labour – a sleaze scandal already – but it would be worse if this alleged activity had resulted in Labour clinging on to power in Scotland. At most, it can be said to have allowed Labour to maintain a number of seats (possibly including Glasgow Kelvin with a Labour majority of 1,207 over the SNP, or Eastwood with a majority of 891 over the Tories) that it would have lost had not been for this funding.

    We hope that the Electoral Commission comes up with more convincing findings than those of the inquiry into Cash for Peerages.

    Gordon Brown won't set Iraq pull-out timetable

    Gordon Brown firmly rejected calls to set a "pre-determined exit timetable" for British troops to leave Iraq last night, insisting they would stay as long as necessary.

  • General warns of 'deadly' new Afghan phase
  • Allan Mallinson: Allied rivalry isn't new, but we need each other
  • Soldier's mother to sue over 'insulting' award
  • The Prime Minister's remarks, in a letter to Sir Menzies Campbell, the Liberal Democrat leader, were aimed at ending speculation rife in Washington that he may order a rapid pull-out of Britain's remaining 5,500 troops.

    Brown refuses to set Iraq pull-out timetable
    The number of British troops in Iraq this year has already been reduced from 7,200 to 5,500

    American military commanders have voiced concern in recent days over Mr Brown's reluctance to speak out about the Iraq crisis and expressed fears that Britain might order a complete pull-out from the southern city of Basra, leaving the United States to fill the void.

    Mr Brown told Sir Menzies that Britain had obligations both to the Iraqi government and the United Nations to stay the course until the country's own security forces were ready to deliver stability across the whole of the south.

    Decisions on troop deployment and other military issues would be taken on the basis of advice from commanders "on the ground", he said. His comments came as new figures show the total cost of the Iraq war has soared to £6.6 billion, making it the most costly conflict since the Second World War.

    "I believe that we continue to have clear obligations to discharge," the Prime Minister said. "We are there at the express invitation of the Iraqi government, implementing a UN mandate renewed last November.

    "We, together with the rest of the international community, have undertaken to support the country's political and economic development through the UN-led International Compact for Iraq. These are commitments it is not in our interests simply to abandon."

    The stronger language will reassure the White House that Mr Brown is not planning any major departure from the policy pursued by Tony Blair, his predecessor.

    On Afghanistan Mr Brown said "dangerous and difficult" tasks remained. But he stressed it was vital that the international community did not allow the country once again to become a "failed state".

    He said there was "much to do" and that progress would be measured in a wider sense than mere military successes against the Taliban. It would be judged according to the stability of government in the country, reconstruction, economic development and the building up of local security forces.

    The figures revealing the cost of the war in Iraq are based on the latest Whitehall departmental spending figures. They show that when aid, debt relief and security costs are taken into account, the total is £1.6 billion higher than the £5 billion outlay admitted by the Treasury.

  • Call for second Iraq medal clasp
  • Troop inquests five times longer than civilian cases
  • Frontline: Our troops in Iraq and Afghanistan
  • Experts say the £6.6 billion figure still underestimates the true total because it does not take into account hidden costs such as extra salaries and the long-term care for soldiers who have suffered mentally and physically.

    The costs of regular trips by politicians, diplomats and others to the region are also not included.

    Although the figures, calculated by the Financial Times, are dwarfed by the £200 billion-plus spent by the US government in Iraq - where American forces outnumber Britain's by 20 to one - their publication is certain to fuel calls for a speedier withdrawal of British forces from the combat zone.

    The number of British troops has already been reduced from 7,200 at the start of this year to 5,500 now. It is due to fall to 5,000 next month and Mr Brown is bound to face calls at the this year's TUC Congress and Labour Party conference to accelerate exit plans.

    The Iraq war has already proved more expensive than the Falklands conflict which, in today's prices, cost £4.2 billion. The Forces spent £956 million in Iraq in 2006-07 and £738 million in Afghanistan.

    Monday, 27 August 2007

    Brown 'caves in' to unions on pay deal

    Nurse

    Nurses are among the public sector workers to benefit from the deal


    Gordon Brown has been accused of caving in to the trade unions after it emerged that tough pay deals for millions of public sector staff workers are being quietly improved.

    NHS workers, local government staff and 100,000 civil servants working in job centres have been offered more money in recent days in an attempt to stave off threatened strikes.

    The biggest change is the offer made to council staff. It breaks the Government's target of two per cent rises this year, designed to curb public spending.

    Now 2.48 per cent will be added to their pay packets. The lowest paid will receive 3.4 per cent, taking them to at least £6 an hour.

    But the Conservatives accused the Prime Minister of a U-turn, following threats from public sector unions to organise strikes across Whitehall, town halls, schools and hospitals.

    Chris Grayling, Tory work and pensions spokesman, said: "It looks like Gordon Brown is talking tough, but acting soft. He has been preaching pay restraint, but now we start to see the small print, it's clear that the moment his union paymasters begin to rattle their sabres, he caves in without much of a fight.

    "It shows the unions are back calling the shots in the Labour Party.

    "Gordon Brown needs them to bail out Labour's finances, so just can't afford a confrontation with them."

    Business leaders also expressed dismay. Richard Lambert, director-general of the CBI, said: "Gordon Brown was forceful in making the case for public sector pay restraint in his latter time as Chancellor.

    "He must not recant now as the unions seek to put the squeeze on him."

    The unions, many of whom helped pay for Mr Brown's leadership campaign, have been planning to ambush the Prime Minister when he speaks to the TUC next month.

    They were angry at below-inflation pay deals for nurses, doctors, civil servants, prison officers and other public sector staff, announced earlier this year.

    The Treasury said the deal "struck the right balance between fairness and discipline in the fight against inflation".

    It was widely interpreted as a signal that Mr Brown was prepared to risk confrontation with the public sector unions.

    In the past, the Government has been accused of craven surrender when threatened with strikes - most notably over reform of goldplated pensions for existing public sector workers in 2005.

    Ministers dropped plans to raise the retirement age from 60 to 65 for existing NHS staff, teachers and civil servants. The change was applied only to new staff.

    Ahead of the TUC meeting, unions tabled a motion demanding co-ordinated strike action to fight Mr Brown's policy of pay restraint. But in recent days, three pay deals have been revisited. On top of the increases for local government workers, the lowest-paid health workers are to be offered £400 a year more.

    The Scottish Executive has offered further increases, taking the overall NHS pay settlement to 2.08 per cent.

    Meanwhile, Peter Hain, the Work and Pensions Secretary, has upped the offer to the lowest-paid civil servants at job centres from two per cent to three per cent.

    Heather Wakefield, head of local government at Unison, said: "This is a welcome breakthrough for the lowest paid."

    The Treasury denied that there had been a U-turn. It said: "We are committed to ensuring we control public sector pay. Restraint is essential to deliver value for money and keep inflationary pressures in check.

    "Our objective still is to stick to a target of two per cent across the public sector.

    "It's up to local government employers to reach agreement with the unions, though we give overall guidance on what to aim for."

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=478159&in_page_id=1770

    Blair - the war criminal

    Poll reveals Labour's lead is narrowing

    LABOUR'S lead over the Tories has narrowed slightly, according to a new opinion poll out today.

    The ICM survey for The Guardian put Labour on 39 per cent, one point up on last month and five points ahead of the Tories, who were up two points on 35 per cent.

    The Liberal Democrats were down two points on 18 per cent as their support was squeezed by the two larger parties.

    Translated into seats, the findings would give Labour a majority of around 50 seats at Westminster.

    But the narrowing gap prompted speculation that Prime Minister Gordon Brown might hesitate about opting for an early general election.

    However, the poll also found fewer people wanting a change of government compared with this time last year.

    Although 55 per cent said they agreed it was "time for a change" that figure was well down on the 70 per cent who took that view last year.

    ICM interviewed 1016 adults aged 18 and over by telephone between August 22 and 23.


    http://news.scotsman.com/politics.cfm?id=1360522007

    Brown unlikely to call early election as Cameron narrows gap in the polls

    End of his honeymoon period: It's unlikely Brown will call an election as his lead in the polls has slipped


    Gordon Brown was warned his "bounce" was faltering as it was revealed the Tories were most trusted on the economy, health, and law and order.

    A new poll showed voters believed David Cameron was most likely to solve problems in the creaking NHS, crack crime and anti-social behaviour and safeguard the nation's finances.

    At the same time, the Prime Minister's lead in the polls slipped to five points - down from as much as ten points a fortnight ago.

    Support for Labour was up one point to 39 per cent - but the Tories were up two to 34 per cent, according to an ICM survey. The Lib Dems were down two to 18 per cent.

    Supporters of the Tory leader hailed the findings as a "huge boost" - and suggested Mr Brown's honeymoon period was coming to a halt.

    Since entering Number 10 in June, he had enjoyed a "Brown bounce" with voters impressed by his assured handling of the foiled terror plot in London and Glasgow, the floods and the foot and mouth crisis.

    But the latest results indicate this is diminishing as the Conservatives begin to claw back ground on their main rivals.

    Mr Cameron has spent the past fortnight campaigning furiously on health and law and order, issues which seem to have hit the target with voters.

    Last week, which saw the tragic shooting of 11-year-old Rhys Jones in Liverpool, he pledged to make tackling social breakdown and cracking down on yobbish behaviour the central plank of his General Election battle.

    David Cameron: out of deep water?


    And today Mr Cameron makes his third speech on law and order in eight days when he addresses the "crime crisis" engulfing Britain.

    His underlying message on the NHS also appears to have struck a chord, despite becoming embroiled in an embarrassing row with health chiefs over claims 29 hospitals faced cuts to A&E or maternity units.

    Voters also seem to have been wooed by Mr Cameron's pledge to reduce "family taxes", which followed the publication of former Cabinet minister John Redwood's detailed report on economic competitiveness.

    Measures could include lucrative tax breaks for married couples worth £3,000 a year, scrapping inheritance tax and slashing stamp duty. These would be paid for by hitting car and air travel through "green" levies.

    Questioned about which party was most likely to sweep crime off the streets, voters gave the Tories a ten-point lead.

    They also think Labour is much more likely to damage the NHS - being seen as the biggest threat by nine points.

    And despite his hard-earned reputation as one of Britain's finest Chancellors, Mr Brown is considered six points more likely to upset the economy.

    However, voters think Labour is more likely to deliver rising house prices, better educational standards, tackle climate change and share income more fairly.

    Nevertheless, the figures are good news for Mr Cameron, who has taken a battering over his party's third place in recent by-elections, for ditching his party's traditional policies on grammar schools and for deserting his flood-hit constituency for a trip to Rwanda.

    They also mean the Prime Minister is even less likely to risk a snap General Election in October.

    Labour insiders claim the slide in the polls, combined with a possible low turnout due to bad weather, a backlash in Scotland and a lack of activists, lengthen the odds on Mr Brown asking Britain to go to the ballot box in autumn.

    Instead, he could wait until spring or possibly even later. He is not required to call an election until May 2010.

    If the figures in poll were repeated at an election, both Labour and the Conservatives would gain seats.

    But Labour would retain a workable 50-seat majority.

    However, if Labour shed two points to the Tories during an election campaign, Mr Brown would see his majority slashed to about ten seats - making him vulnerable to rebellions from left-wing backbenchers.

    Tory MP Desmond Swayne, who is Mr Cameron's key Parliamentary aide, said: "This poll will be very, very worrying for Gordon Brown if it shows we are leading on the NHS.

    "The NHS is Labour's equivalent of our economy in the 1980s. This is the equivalent of what happened to us after Black Wednesday.

    "When voters' trust in our handling of the economy went out of the window, what was the point of voting for us. If our tanks are on their lawn for the first time ever, why vote Labour?"

    The poll shows the Prime Minister has made significant strides to eliminate some of the disquiet about Labour in the dying days of Tony Blair's regime, the poll suggests.

    Even though 55 per cent of voters still want a change of government, this is down from 70 per cent last September.

    And 31 per cent of voters believe it is wise to "stick with Labour" compared to 23 per cent a year ago.

    The poll also suggested the political north-south divide had increased since the 2005 election.

    Tory supporting has hardened by nine points in England's southern shires and one point in the Midlands, where the party will fight key marginal seats.

    Labour, on the other hand, has galvanised its vote in its traditional industrial heartlands in the north. It has also gained momentum in London.

    Liberal Democrat leader Sir Menzies Campbell, who overcame a recent crisis by posting two good by-election results in Ealing Southall and Sedgefield, will be concerned by the findings.

    Support for his party has dropped by nine points to 19 per cent in the south, set to be the scene of a battle-royal with the Tories over a string of knife-edge seats.

    They include Eastleigh in Hampshire, which Lib Dem environment spokesman and possible future leader Chris Huhne holds by just 568 votes.

    ICM interviewed 1,016 adults aged 18 and over by telephone between August 22 and 23.

    Key findings of ICM poll

    •Labour lead slips to five points. Last month, ICM gave Labour a six-point lead and two weeks ago YouGov put it at ten points.

    •Labour at 39 per cent (+1), Tories at 34 per cent (+2), Liberal Democrats at 18 per cent (-2), Others at 9 per cent (-1).

    •If figures repeated in a General Election, Labour would hold a majority of about 50 seats.

    •55 per cent of voters believe it is "time for a change" of government - down from 70 per cent a year ago.

    •Labour lead on education - three points.

    •Tory lead on law and order - ten points.

    •Tory lead on health - nine points.

    •Tory lead on economy - six points.

    •Political north-south divide returning: Labour support in north up from 45 to 47 per cent and in north-east from 32 to 39 per cent.

    •Conservative backing in south up from 39 to 48 per cent.


    http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/article-23409900-details/Brown%20unlikely%20to%20call%20early%20election%20as%20Cameron%20narrows%20gap%20in%20the%20polls/article.do

    PLUM POSTING? JACK'S JOBS IS ROTTEN FRUIT


    By George Galloway

    THE benighted African state of Malawi you would have thought already had enough on its plate.

    Certainly the appointment of spring-heeled Jack McConnell as our man in Blantyre won't butter many parsnips in a country swept by hunger, AIDS, unemployment, mass poverty and ill health.

    It is an insult to the poor Africans, as much as it is to our diplomatic service, the way an expensively superannuated failed apparatchik has been dropped on them without ascintilla of ambassadorial bearing training or skill.

    My only consolation - call it Schadenfreude - is that Jacko will be bored out of his tiny mind wishing he was back in our own Blantyre or even Cumbernauld - anywhere but Malawi. I was the last British politician to see the late tyrant.

    Dr Hastings Banda that is, not McConnell. He was the former elder of the Church of Scotland (until the church very belatedly threw him out) who ruled Malawi by the rod.

    He was much favoured by the West for what he was not - a Communist - at a time when the colonies like Mozambique, Angola, Namibia, Zimbabwe and Zambia were booting out the Empire and spouting red flags or, in the case of Kenneth Kaunda, red 'kerchiefs.

    They didn't care about the dirty little secrets Banda was keeping under his ubiquitous black Homburg hat. That he was a thief, a torturer and a murderer.

    By the time I met him he was absolutely gaga. "How is the Prime Minister, Mr Wilson?" he asked me despite the fact Harold had left office nearly 20 years before.

    Ididn't have the heart to tell the old boy Mr Wilson was in fact, er, dead. By that time Banda, and Malawi, were being run from behind the lace curtains by the brother of Banda's "official hostess", in fact his wee burd on the side. It could have been an Ealing comedy if it hadn't been so tragic.

    Like Helen Liddell and Paul Boateng, McConnell is being given a diplomatic posting to ease him off the premises.

    The difference is Australia and South Africa are plum postings, Malawi rotten fruit indeed.

    It is a small dark corner where a very small man in a too-short black kilt with the wrong shirt and wrong socks has been made to go and stand to eat up his curds and whey.

    'He'll be bored out his mind wishing he was back in our Blantyre or Cumbernauld'

    g.galloway@dailyrecord.co.uk

    http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/news/tm_headline=plum-posting-jack-s-jobs-is-rotten-fruit&method=full&objectid=19660827&siteid=66633-name_page.html

    Will forces funding be an issue at the next election?

    While Iraq was an issue at the last election it was more to do with the integrity of the government and our relationship with America, rather than on spending, commitments and the duty to service people.

    Gordon Brown has been quite good at setting himself apart from the political fallout of the decision to go to war although, as second most senior member of the cabinet, he was just as much a part of the decision as Blair.
    The big difference now is that people are now seeing that the front line armed forces have been starved of funding while public money was be squandered by Brown. Requests from the forces for equipment, troops and improved conditions were met with a "they would say that wouldn't they" attitude from the government. Yet at the same time £ billions were being wasted on legions of QANGOs.
    Forces funding (as % of GDP) is now the lowest since before WWII yet we are seeing an intensity of conflict and casualty rates not experienced in since Korea.
    My views on Des Browne are well known but it should never be forgotten that Gordon Brown's attempt to do more with less has cost the live of British service people.

    Poll warning to Brown over October election gamble

    · PM could lose majority if he goes for early vote
    · Cameron leading on law and order and health issues
    · ICM poll shows Lib Dems falling behind in south


    Julian Glover
    Monday August 27, 2007
    The Guardian


    Gordon Brown would risk the possible loss of his parliamentary majority if he gambled and held an early general election this autumn, according to a Guardian/ICM poll published today. It shows Labour's lead narrowing slightly to five points amid signs of rising Conservative support.

    The poll, carried out before the start of the bank holiday weekend, confirms that Labour is in a stronger position than it was before Mr Brown took over as leader. Support for the party stands at 39%, up one point on last month's Guardian/ICM survey. But Conservative support has increased by two points to 34%. Both major parties are squeezing the Liberal Democrats, down two points to 18%, a trend seen in other recent polls.

    If those figures were repeated at a general election, both Labour and the Conservatives would stand to gain seats, with Labour retaining a majority of about 50 and winning some 370 seats.

    But Labour's lead is not enough to guarantee such success, which may encourage Mr Brown to wait until he calls a contest, not required by law until 2010.

    If Labour support dropped by two points in the course of an election campaign, and Conservative support rose, Mr Brown would be returned to Downing Street with a majority of little over 10 seats. That would leave him vulnerable to rebellions by leftwing Labour MPs.

    Nonetheless the poll shows that Mr Brown has gone a long way to turn around Labour's position since he arrived in office. Although 55% of voters agree with the statement that it is "time for a change", that figure has dropped dramatically since last September. Then, 70% of voters wanted a change of government.

    Now 31% of voters agree that "continuity is important, stick with Labour", up from 23% in 2006. That suggests Mr Brown has managed to convince voters he has changed the nature of the government, while retaining some of the strengths that brought Labour to power a decade ago.

    These are clear from the public's attitude towards the two main parties on a series of policy questions. Voters think that Labour, more than the Conservatives party, is likely to deliver rising house prices, higher educational standards, a fairer distribution of income and an effective approach to climate change.

    The question compares public opinion now with 1996, when a Guardian/ICM poll tested views a year before Mr Blair won a landslide general election. It shows that voters have lost much of their enthusiasm for a Labour government, and on some issues, especially health, they have turned strongly against it.

    But Mr Cameron, perhaps only a year from an election as Mr Blair was in 1996, has not been able to build the levels of support on key policies that helped New Labour win power.

    In 1996, Labour led the Conservatives by 30 points as the party best placed to improve educational standards. Now it leads by three. On law and order, a key plank in Mr Blair's initial appeal, Labour's 1996 lead of 16% has turned into a 10 point deficit now. That suggests that Mr Cameron's campaigning on the issue over the last week, which also saw the shooting of 11-year-old Rhys Jones in Liverpool, is having an impact.

    He is also making progress on health. In 1996, the Conservatives led Labour by 48 points as the party most likely to worsen the state of the NHS. Now, voters think that Labour, not the Tories, are most likely to harm health care. Labour leads the Conservatives by nine points as the biggest threat. Labour has also slipped back on the economy: with voters six points more likely to think a future Labour government would damage it than a Conservative one.

    But Labour has allayed some fears. Compared with 1996, voters are substantially less likely to think a Labour government would drive up inflation, interest rates and force down house prices.

    Today's poll has also allowed a large-scale analysis of party support by age and region. It shows that Britain's political north-south divide is making a comeback, with increased support for the Conservatives almost exclusively concentrated in southern England.

    The research compares data from all ICM polls carried out during the 2005 general election with all ICM polls carried out since Mr Brown became Labour leader in late June. The larger sample sizes allow an accurate assessment of each party's core strengths and weaknesses. Labour support has held up well in northern England, the east and the Midlands. During the 2005 campaign Labour averaged 45% in the north, compared with 47% now. Support has also risen in London, where it averaged 41% in 2005 and 48% now. In the south and south-west of England, Labour support is also resilient, at 28% now compared with 27% in 2005.

    But the party is struggling in Scotland and Wales, in the wake of the SNP's victory in this year's elections to Holyrood, dropping from 43% in 2005 to 36% now. That suggests Mr Brown may delay an election because he fears losing seats to the SNP.

    Meanwhile the Conservative advance under Mr Cameron has been more limited than many have assumed. In northern England and Scotland, Conservative support has fallen over the last two years. In the 2005 election the party averaged 28% support in the north in ICM polls.

    Since Mr Brown's arrival, it has averaged just 26%. In Scotland, support has dropped by one point. But this poor performance is partly offset by strong growth in southern England. In 2005, Tory support averaged 39% in the south. Now it has reached 48%. Support has also climbed in London.

    A striking feature of the research is that these advances have come at the expense of the Lib Dems, with almost no shift from Labour to the Conservatives.

    Lib Dem support has fallen by nine points in the south to 19% and is now lower than in the north, where it stands at 22% and appears to be more resilient.

    That suggests that Sir Menzies Campbell will lose a string of southern seats at the next general election as they revert to the Conservatives. His party may hold its own in the north against Labour in terms of votes, but has fewer winnable seats there. Lib Dem support in London has also dropped. The research also analyses party support by age and social background. Again, it shows that the Conservative advance has been limited to traditional areas. The party leads Labour among pensioners, people in the AB socio-economic class and homeowners.

    The analysis suggests the Tories are slipping further behind Labour among people aged 25-65.

    · ICM interviewed a random sample of 1,016 adults aged 18+ by telephone between 22nd and 23rd August 2007.

    Interviews were conducted across the country and the results have been weighted to the profile of all adults. ICM is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.


    http://politics.guardian.co.uk/polls/story/0,,2156941,00.html

    The new north-south divide

    Like Ordnance Survey maps, the political geography of Britain can be viewed on many different scales. The broadest, spanning the whole of the United Kingdom from Land's End to John O'Groats, shows a single, simple picture: a nation narrowly more inclined to support Labour than any of the party's rivals. Today's Guardian/ICM poll puts Gordon Brown's party on 39%, five points ahead of the Conservatives. It is a good result for Labour - a party that has lagged behind for much of the past two years - and a not discouraging one for David Cameron, who may detect some headway in his campaigns on crime and health. Only Sir Menzies Campbell, whose party falls two points to 18%, may be disappointed.

    This all-encompassing scale is the one on which political success between elections is usually judged - and the Guardian/ICM series, the longest-running in recent political history, has proved a reliable guide. But as motorists and mountain walkers know, big maps can hide much essential detail. Smaller scales can point out contrasts and variations that are otherwise missed. This is certainly the case with today's poll, and the longer-term analysis that accompanies it. By compiling the results of all ICM polls since Mr Brown became prime minister two months ago today, a bigger sample can be examined, containing the views of 5,039 people this summer. This allows a more accurate assessment of political opinion in different parts of the country, and among different types of voters. Reducing the scale from national to regional in this way exposes a very different picture of political opinion across Britain.

    One striking feature is that Labour, led by a Scottish prime minister, is in good health everywhere in the country apart from Scotland and Wales. Compared with 2005, when ICM interviewed 13,214 voters during the general election campaign, Labour's average vote in Scotland and Wales has fallen by seven points, from 43% to 36%. Alex Salmond's new administration in Edinburgh appears to be proving popular. That in itself may be enough to deter Mr Brown from testing his luck in an early general election. But if he does he can hope to do well in England - or at least as well as Labour did in 2005. In London, for instance, Labour support is six points up; in the south-east and south-west it is one point up; and in the north, the engine-room of Labour's parliamentary majority, it has risen by two points.

    For Mr Cameron, who ought to be doing much better than Michael Howard in 2005, these are disheartening figures. But the most remarkable finding is the one showing just how localised Mr Cameron's appeal is. In the south-east outside London and the south-west the Conservatives have advanced massively in the past two years, up from 39% to an average of 48%. If that swing was a national one, not a regional one, Mr Cameron would be on his way to office. His weakness is in the north, where Conservative support actually appears to have fallen, from 28% to 26%. The north-south divide in British politics is making a comeback.

    His problem is not just that northern voters might prefer the Yorkshire tones of David Davis or William Hague: they also still like Sir Menzies Campbell. He, of all the party leaders, has the most to chew over. In the north Lib Dem support is firm: 22% now, against 23% in 2005. But in the south - where most Lib Dem MPs are elected - it has collapsed, down nine points at 19%. That means the Liberal Democrats are now stronger in the north than the south for the first time since their formation. The party has also dropped back seven points in London. Polling day could be brutal.

    The picture is of a country split across the middle: a southern land that likes Mr Cameron's new style (but retains a fondness for Mr Brown too) and one to the north that cannot abide it. Only one of these lands will get the government it wants at the next general election.


    http://politics.guardian.co.uk/polls/comment/0,,2156972,00.html

    Sunday, 26 August 2007

    NHS deaths could be halved, say doctors

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/26/nhs126.xml


    More than 10,000 people are dying needlessly each year after being denied intensive care treatment, according to senior doctors.

    Shadow health secretary Andrew Lansley
    Andrew Lansley: 'We have chronically poor levels
    of intensive care compared with elsewhere'

    They have written to the Health Secretary Alan Johnson, warning that many patients are dying after routine surgery because of a failure to identify them as "high-risk" cases.

    The result is that they are not monitored closely enough, causing at least 20,000 deaths each year.

    But consultants say that figure could be halved if high-risk cases were properly identified and transferred to intensive care. They say the number of critical care beds devoted to post-operative patients should be tripled from the 30,000 currently provided, while 50 per cent of patients should receive extra care.

    Shadow health secretary Andrew Lansley said: "This is a really critical issue for this country. We have chronically poor levels of intensive care compared with elsewhere."

    In the letter to Mr Johnson, seen by this newspaper, 17 eminent anaesthetists demand an overhaul of NHS surgical practices, warning that four times as many patients die in Britain after surgery as in the United States.

    The doctors say the health service has failed to introduce simple tests to identify high-risk patients and challenge the health secretary as to why technology proven to cut deaths is used in a fraction of NHS operations.

    One of the co-signatories, David Bennett, Emeritus Professor of Intensive Care Medicine at St George's Hospital in London, said: "There are at least 20,000 patients dying after surgery across the UK - that is a very conservative estimate.

    "We think we could halve the numbers dying, and save at least 10,000 lives a year, if patients were given the right support.

    "This is a political decision. There aren't many interventions that could have such a dramatic effect." In-creased use of intensive care, combined with better monitoring, could save money by cutting patients' time in hospital and preventing emergency re-admissions, he said.

    Prof Bennett said that most hospitals had failed to invest in equipment such as fitness bikes, which help to assess the patient's health prior to surgery, and blood-flow monitors, which maintain fluid levels and cardiac output during an operation.

    Despite backing from NHS rationing body the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence, blood -flow monitors are used on less than 10 per cent of patients.

    Dr Bruce Taylor, honorary secretary of The Intensive Care Society said more patients should be monitored by intensive care before they became seriously ill. But he said there was "no slack at all in the existing system" to take on more patients without a substantial rise in funds.

    Britain has 0.6 critical care beds per 10,000 population compared to 4.4 per 10,000 in the US.

    "There are not enough beds and we regularly struggle to meet -demand," Dr Taylor said.

    A spokesman for the Department of Health said the Government was doing all it could to ensure hospitals provided efficient surgical care.

    A dark cloud looms over the Prime Minister's honeymoon

    http://observer.guardian.co.uk/comment/story/0,,2156369,00.html


    So far, relations with America have been stable since Gordon Brown came to power. But all that is set to change

    The Observer

    It was brilliant while it lasted. Since he joined George W Bush for a press conference on the lawn at Camp David a month ago, Gordon Brown has managed to have the best of both worlds, convincing the Americans that he's a true believer in the 'special relationship' and reminding Britons he's no Tony Blair. But the game may soon be up.

    At their first summit, the workmanlike rapport between Brown and Bush perfectly suited both sides. The Bush-Blair love match was a thing of the past; that went without saying. The new duet would be a partnership, businesslike and profitable. Gordon looked at George and was pleased 'to be able to affirm and to celebrate the historic partnership of shared purpose between our two countries'. George looked at Gordon and vowed: 'The relationship between Great Britain and America is our most important bilateral relationship.'
    Celebrants on both sides of the aisle recognised this as a marriage of convenience, but a successful one none the less. In Britain, the headline writers were persuaded that Brown was 'no poodle'. In the United States, it was clear that Bush and Brown, like Bush and Blair before them, would 'stay the course'.

    It was only a matter of time before their differences threatened to bring them down. Brown could soon be forced to make decisions about the deployment of British troops in Iraq that will put both his political resilience at home and his alliance with Bush to the test. In mid-September, the top two Americans in Iraq, Gen David Petraeus and Ambassador Ryan Crocker, will report their findings on progress there. They seem likely to conclude that the US troop 'surge' is working and the Iraqi government isn't.

    I won't hazard a guess as to what Petraeus and Crocker will or will not have to say about the British presence in southern Iraq and about the security situation there. Stated or not, the fact is that the picture in and around Basra is far from pretty. By almost any measure, conditions in the south have deteriorated in recent years, both for Iraqi civilians and British troops.

    In the immediate aftermath of the Petraeus-Crocker report, everyone's attention will be drawn to Baghdad and its environs and to America's predicament. But at some point, heads will turn toward Gordon Brown and a single question will float his way: now what are you going to do? When that happens, the nature of Brown's premiership could change radically. Last week, Bush, in his speech arguing that to 'abandon' Iraq would replicate the 'tragedy of Vietnam', described himself with grim pride as a 'wartime President'. The last thing Gordon Brown wants to be is a wartime Prime Minister.

    For at least a year now, an assumption has lodged itself firmly in the British body politic: we're on the way out of Iraq; our boys and girls are coming home. Though Blair never got credit for it (or blame, from the American side), he presided over a massive drawdown of personnel - from 46,000 in the spring of 2003 to 8,500 in May 2005 to 5,500 before he left office. There the number stands today. It is expected to fall again, to 5,000, in the autumn, when the UK turns the besieged Basra palace, once one of Saddam Hussein's smaller residences, over to the Iraqis and then concentrates its forces at Basra airport.

    In coming weeks and months, Brown will come under increasing pressure to not 'cut and run' from the south. Official Washington remains discreet when it comes to criticism of the Prime Minister, but cries of 'Who lost Basra?' fill the air as outriders for the Bush administration circle Fort Brown.

    The Washington Post recently quoted a senior US intelligence official in Baghdad as saying: 'The British have basically been defeated in the south.' Kenneth Pollack, a former CIA intelligence analyst and early advocate of the invasion of Iraq, says British military participation in Iraq 'has been meaningless for some time'. Last week, General John Keane, a former vice chief of staff of the US army and adviser to Petraeus, who had just got back from Iraq, told the Today programme that Basra is rife with 'almost gangland warfare' already and that with further British troop withdrawals, 'the situation will continue to deteriorate'.

    But what's Brown to do? He will probably try to walk a fine line on troop deployments in Iraq, bringing the numbers down - slowly - so as not to rile Washington or risk the appearance of defeat and yet still keep the home front happy. Up to now, the softly, softly approach has worked. For a couple of years, a quid pro quo has kept the Americans at bay; Britain will shoulder a larger and larger burden in Afghanistan (a cause more easily justified to the British electorate than Iraq) while tiptoeing out of Iraq.

    Suddenly, the quid pro quo is looking very shaky. For one thing, the British experience in Helmand province is getting direr, and more politically complicated, by the day ('Afghanistan death rate tops Vietnam' one London paper scaremongered). For another, Basra itself looks more and more complicated. The same could be said for relations between Brown and Bush and between London and Washington. The inherent tension between Brown's determination to distance himself from Blair and his commitment to the special relationship could reach a breaking point before Bush leaves office.

    A pragmatist, Brown was never going to buy into the war in Iraq, much less the broader neoconservative American agenda, in the way Blair did. As he tries to move out of Blair's shadow, and to recover the support Blair lost by his closeness to Bush, Brown is seeking to recalibrate the special relationship, not end it. If Blair's bond to Bush and America was forged in the heat of 9/11, Brown has sought a cooler version, one that resides in the shared history of the two countries but is free of the ideological straitjacket of the last six years. Blair's inner circle thinks Brown's special-relationship balancing act is a ramshackle intellectual construct doomed to failure - or 'tripe', as one of them put it to me. You can't pick and choose when to be close or not close to America, the Blairites would argue. Of course you can, the Brownites would fire back: Harold Wilson was right to refuse to commit troops to Vietnam. Does Brown have to be Wilson in order not to be Blair?

    Brown will hope that time is on his side: as of today, it's 512 days until Bush leaves office. (Surely a cheeky Gordon Brown would set his internet browser homepage to one of those Bush countdown clock sites on the web.) After all, he's got his own election, and not just America's, to think about.

    All summer long, Brown has been sitting pretty, blessed by Blair's departure and the Tories' surge-in-reverse. Wouldn't you know that Iraq, the bane of Blair's political existence, would come back to haunt Brown, who is sometimes accused by his enemies of treating the war there as if it were an event occurring in a galaxy far, far away?


    Brown hit by new sleaze row over Labour funds

    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article2327904.ece


    LABOUR is facing an official inquiry into an alleged front organisation, financed by millionaire Muslim businessmen, which has donated more than £300,000 to the party.

    The electoral watchdog, which polices political funding, confirmed that it was investigating donations to Labour from a group called Muslim Friends of Labour. Its findings are expected to lead to a full-blown inquiry — the first potential sleaze probe to hit Labour since Gordon Brown became prime minister in June.

    Imran Khand, a Glasgow-based entrepreneur, is revealed as a leading financial backer behind Muslim Friends, which funnelled £100,000 a month to Labour between March and June.

    As his money is paid to Muslim Friends - rather than directly to the Labour party - his identity has until now remained secret. The Electoral Commission is probing whether Labour has broken laws on the disclosure of donations by hiding the true source of its financing.

    Khand is a close associate of Mohammad Sarwar, the controversial Labour MP who chairs the organisation. Sarwar was embroiled in a vote-rigging scandal in the late 1990s which saw him suspended from the parliamentary Labour party. He was later cleared of the allegations in the High Court.

    Khand has recently set up a series of companies with a Pakistani arms salesman and is also funding a British parliamentary inquiry into “tackling terrorism” via another organisation.

    He has never been publicly named as a Labour donor although Muslim Friends has risen to become the party’s second most generous nontrade union benefactor. It is understood that most Labour Muslim MPs and peers are members.

    Muslim Friends, which until recently gave only modest amounts, is set up as an “unincorporated association” which does not publish accounts or reveal the source of its funding. It is registered to a PO box address in south London.

    Labour politicians have previously criticised the Conservatives for accepting money from a similar unincorporated association involving Robert Edmiston, a Midlands car dealer.

    The watchdog said: “We have raised questions with the Labour party about these donations. We are looking into it. Inquiries are at a preliminary stage.”

    Yesterday Sarwar, who is to step down at the next election, refused to reveal who funded the donations. “I will not name names. We have made a decision not to release the information. That is the decision of the board of Muslim Friends of Labour,” he said.

    He added that the organisation was “very powerful” and was regularly consulted by ministers drawing up policies of interest to the Muslim community.

    Another senior member of Muslim Friends disclosed that Khand was the leading benefactor. He revealed that Sarwar, himself a multi-millionaire, had also provided funding.

    One leading Muslim Labour figure said: “I am staggered how much money they are giving suddenly. It started off in the wake of 2001 when Muslims were facing serious challenges, but now it seems to be Sarwar and his friends.”

    Last week Khand refused to comment on his donations to Muslim Friends.

    Yesterday, when asked to justify its decision to accept donations from Muslim Friends, the Labour party said it would take steps to ensure that donors to the group were made public.

    Gordon Brown attacked over Forces funding

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/08/26/nbrown126.xml

    Gordon Brown has come under fire on both sides of the Atlantic for starving the Armed Forces of funding, leaving them struggling to fight on two fronts, in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    Robert Foster, Aaron McClure and John Thrumble
    Robert Foster, Aaron McClure and John Thrumble

    The Prime Minister was attacked by Liam Fox, the shadow defence secretary, and a White House adviser over ten years of "underspending".

    He was accused of refusing to give British troops the money to defend themselves as they combat insurgents in southern Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan.

    The claims came as the three soldiers killed by a US jet in a "friendly fire" incident in Afghanistan were named as Privates Aaron McClure, Robert Foster and John Thrumble.

    Critics said that the men, who were hit by a 500lb bomb in Helmand, should have been protected by high-tech systems to identify them to friendly forces.

    Dr Fox said that cuts in defence spending demanded by the Treasury had left the Army unable to invest in equipment that could have saved the soldiers' lives.

    "Gordon Brown showed no interest in the Armed Forces in his time as chancellor," said Dr Fox. "We know what he thinks about casinos and cannabis but we have heard scarcely a word from him on Afghanistan. When it comes to people putting their lives on the line there is a deafening silence.



    "As chancellor, Gordon Brown never gave defence much priority and now the skies are black with chickens coming home to roost."

    Since Mr Brown became Prime Minister on June 27, 13 soldiers have been killed in Afghanistan and 15 in Iraq.

    Frederick Kagan, an adviser to President George W Bush and the architect of the US surge strategy in Iraq, said the special relationship between Britain and America was under threat because defence cuts had left the Army unable to sustain simultaneous operations in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    "Britain has a lot of problems, principally that their ground forces are too small and are now paying the price," Mr Kagan said.

    He disclosed that 3,500 US troops would have to be taken out of the surge to step into the breach when the British leave southern Iraq. "I do worry about the short-term effects on the relationship between the two countries. It will create bad feeling with American soldiers if they can't go home because the British have left."

    The commander of British forces in Helmand last night paid tribute to the three soldiers from 1 Bn, the Royal Anglian Regiment, who died in Thursday's blue on blue attack. Speaking in Lashkar Gar, Brig John Lorimer said that their deaths were a tragedy that had dented morale.

    The incident is under investigation and serving officers were at pains not to lay the blame on either the American pilots or on shortages of combat identification systems designed to reduced the chances of such tragedies.

    Liam Fox: 'Gordon Brown never gave defence much priority'

    But a powerful Commons committee and the National Audit Office have publicly condemned the Government for its failure to invest in equipment to prevent blue on blue, or friendly fire, incidents. In 2003 the public accounts committee criticised the MoD for diverting billions of pounds that should have been spent on battlefield recognition technology into other projects.

    In May this year, the committee's Conservative chairman, Edward Leigh, said: "At the moment, pretty well the only solution to avoid being shot at by an American aeroplane if you're in a war... is to have a great big Union Jack flying on top of your tank."

    An MoD spokesman said: "We take the risk of fratricide very seriously and continue to invest in combat ID technologies to help prevent it."

    The Government claims that defence spending has risen, but its critics say it has fallen compared with other areas.

    The Conservatives say that the proportion of GDP spent on defence is at its lowest since 1930. Spending on health and education has more than doubled since 1999 while defence has risen from £22 billion to £32 billion.

    Col Clive Fairweather, a former deputy commander of the SAS, said that it was cuts imposed by Mr Brown that had reduced the Armed Forces to having to call in the Americans when they needed close air support in Afghanistan.

    "It is the fault of Gordon Brown's Treasury that the Army is under-resourced," he said. "We don't have enough aircraft, troops or equipment".

    Alexander’s husband ‘backs’ independence

    WENDY ALEXANDER has been dealt an embarrassing blow in her first week as Scottish Labour leader after footage emerged of her husband making a case for independence.

    Professor Brian Ashcroft, policy director of the pro-Union economic think-tank, the Fraser of Allander Institute, was filmed arguing that Scotland would be more prosperous as a separate country than having full tax-raising powers as part of the UK.

    Addressing a private seminar in May, Ashcroft said an independent Scotland would join an “arc of prosperity”, comprising other affluent small European states.

    One of his wife’s first actions as leader was to commit to a review of the devolution settlement with the option of giving the Scottish parliament the power to raise all of the £30 billion it spends every year.

    Ashcroft told delegates at an Edinburgh seminar organised by Visit Scotland, that full fiscal autonomy was “an absurdity” found nowhere else in the world. “Against that option, full-blown independence might be better, because . . . you can do many more things,” he added. “If you’re being forced to balance your books, then I think the logic is ‘be independent’, don’t do it within the Union. So you heard it here first - the argument for independence.”

    Labour yesterday sought to play down the row, dismissing it as a “throwaway remark”. However, Pat Kane, who captured Ashcroft on video, said his comments were included in a Powerpoint presentation. “The reaction in the room was one of shock. People were thinking, ‘Did Brian Ashcroft just say that?’ ” said Kane.

    Alex Neil, the nationalist MSP, said: “It must be be the first time in history there’s been a marital row over fiscal autonomy.”

    Yesterday Ashcroft said his preferred option was for “fiscal federalism” where some, but not all, tax powers were devolved to Holyrood.

    Saturday, 25 August 2007

    'Creeps, cranks and careerists' - former MP Martin Bell attacks Tony Blair

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/news/news.html?in_article_id=477705&in_page_id=1770

    Serving as a Member of Parliament was, against stiff competition, one of the most shocking experiences of my life – right up there with meeting child soldiers in the Congo when I worked as a BBC war reporter, or the imprisoned victims of child abuse in Afghanistan.

    There is still a majority of honest and hard-working MPs in the House of Commons. But it is also a refuge of last resort for an eclectic collection of creeps, cranks and careerists.

    More follows...

    I was permanently astonished by the willingness of so many to put their consciences into storage and vote for measures they did not believe in and against those they did.

    I knew an MP who drank himself to death in Annie's Bar. The Whips didn't mind, so long as when the division bell sounded he could drag himself upstairs and vote the way they wanted.

    I also sat in astonishment as I watched another MP trade his vote for a peerage. There was no doubt about it, he knew exactly what he was doing. He had a reputation for integrity and the issue was one on which his vote would carry some weight.

    The Whips were watching. The MP in question justified it on an argument of unity and the debt that he owed to his party. Now grandly titled, he sits in the House of Lords.

    On becoming the independent MP for Tatton, Cheshire, in May 1997, I watched and listened for a while as new Members should, to get the feel of the place and judge what kind of parliament it was.

    After a couple of months, the uneasy feeling dawned on me that it resembled nothing so much as the old East German Volkskammer, where the system counted for everything and the people for nothing; where the place was stuffed to the rafters with stooges and the parties were mere husks of what they pretended to be. Why did we allow this arthritic grip on the windpipe of democracy?

    Yet it had all begun so optimistically. Remember that time of 'hope beyond ordinary imagining', as Tony Blair put it? In May 1997, Labour swept into power on a tide of popular rebellion against Tory 'sleaze', both real and perceived, and on the offer of a different kind of politics. Its manifesto promised: 'We will clean up politics.'

    Those words hang in the air to this day. Did New Labour's leaders really say that and did they mean it? The answer to the first is yes, to the second no.

    Like millions of others, I wished to believe them. Things could hardly get worse, could they? I even had a walk-on part in the brave new world in prospect, defeating the Tories' Neil Hamilton, an MP who had come to seem symbolic of a party and government that had lost its moral compass.

    The Tatton campaign was used, I realised at the time, to keep the 'sleaze' issue bubbling away at the top of the agenda. I had no problem with that, except that it was treated as a kind of stage prop, to disappear at the touch of a conjuror's wand. And Blair could conjure like no Prime Minister since Lloyd George.

    Public trust in public life was as important an issue then as it is now; but as soon as the campaign was over most of those who were elected on the promise of restoring it seemed to shed it like yesterday's fashion accessory. It had served its purpose and did not seem to matter to them any more.

    Sir Alistair Graham, chairman of the Committee on Standards in Public Life, was among those pushed overboard. On leaving office earlier this year, he said: 'My greatest regret has been the apparent failure to persuade the Government to place high ethical standards at the heart of its thinking and, most importantly, behaviour.'

    Apart from the Iraq disaster, the Blair Government was by no means the worst I have lived under. The management of the economy was generally sound. It was strongly committed to providing aid for the developing world.

    It helped bring about a political miracle in Northern Ireland, which may be its most enduring legacy. But on the issue on which it was elected, public trust in public life, its record was wholly and unforgivably negative. It traded in patronage. It squandered a golden opportunity to draw people in and reinvent the entire culture of politics.

    It even dodged the effect of its own reforms on party funding. And this was the party that declared: 'Our mission in politics is to rebuild the bond of trust between government and the people.'

    But it didn't. And that is why, after the most dazzling, disappointing and ultimately dangerous decade in recent politics, it is necessary to write the obituary of the Blair model of New Labour. For if we do not understand the mistakes, from the abuse of patronage to the nonchalant military adventurism, we shall surely be doomed to repeat them.

    Gordon Brown has made a start in separating himself from the record of the previous regime (to which he contributed), and from the years of utter madness in foreign policy. And yes, he may upset the Americans in doing so – but perhaps it's time they were upset. He must also place particular emphasis on the hitherto neglected practice of honest politics.

    If such an instrument as a sleazometer existed, I believe it would register the scandals of the Labour years on a higher scale than those of the Tories. An air of moral dishevelment settled around them. With the exception of the two jailbirds, Jeffrey Archer and Jonathan Aitken, the Tory scandals involved mainly obscure backbenchers and minor figures.

    The Labour scandals reached right into the heart of Government, touching senior Ministers, some of whom were repeat offenders.

    Some survived, others did not. Blair was judge and jury on allegations of ministerial misconduct. He ruled like the Sun King, Louis XIV. He saw no reason, he said, to fine-tune the code.

    But when an MP was accused of breaking the rules of the House of Commons, then that was a matter for the House itself. And here I had a ringside seat.

    For three-and-a-half years I sat on the Standards and Privileges Committee as a parade of MPs came before us, including some Ministers of the Crown. It was instructive to see which of the committee's 11 members left their party allegiances at the door.

    There was a group who were consistently sympathetic to Labour MPs, especially those of Ministerial rank, accused of a breach of the code of conduct. Whether they were doing the Whips' bidding I had no way of knowing. But their words and actions would hardly have been different if they had been.

    This was also the Parliament that undermined its own Standards Commissioner, Elizabeth Filkin, with a disgraceful whispering campaign against her by Ministers and backbenchers. She was eventually let go for doing her job too well. This also undermined trust in the House of Commons. I doubt if it can be restored under the present Speaker, Michael Martin.

    The Tories' curse was cash-for-questions – Labour's was cash-for-peerages. The fact that no charges have been pressed does not mean the scandal has gone away. The evidence is still there and will come out in the long run, to the lasting discredit of those who funded their Election campaigns with loans that pushed the law to its limits and beyond.

    Large sums of money flowed from wealthy individuals to political parties. The leaders of those parties nominated the donors and lenders for high honours. On the face of it, it was a clear case of corruption. So arise, Lord Megabucks. Step this way, Lady Cashpoint. The means are there to secure you a seat at the grander end of the Palace of Westminster.

    But for the Government to be hung out to dry on this issue was a bit like Al Capone being done for tax evasion when considered in the context of the invasion of Iraq, the worst mistake by a British government in living memory, and with the proclaimed cause of war turning out to be a falsehood.

    The irony was that Blair was a most gifted apologiser. But he apologised only for the things he did not do, such as the slave trade or the shooting of Army deserters. He was unrepentant about the things that he did, such as trading in peerages or waging illegal wars.

    Here was a man who sent the Armed Forces to war on the basis of a grand self-deception, and whose answer to those who did not trust him was typically that it did not matter, because he trusted himself.

    To the end of his premiership he retained his faith – not a soldier's faith, but a civilian's – in the effectiveness of hard power. He never understood that the weapons of shock and awe, deployed in a war among the people, recruit more than they kill. And military commanders are not magicians: they are the managers of organised violence.

    The 15th Century Dutch scholar Desiderius Erasmus said war is sweet to those with no experience of it. Neither Blair nor anyone in his Government – not a single Minister at any level – has ever worn the Queen's uniform or known anything of the reality of warfare.

    Their elder statesmen, such as Denis Healey, who was a beach-master at Anzio in 1944, knew better. 'I don't think that people with war experience would have ever got us involved with the Americans in the way that Tony Blair did,' Healey said.

    The untold story of the war in Iraq was the mood of unease that turned to anger among the soldiers sent to fight it.

    They were in the front line as the politicians were not. As soon as it was clear that the weapons of mass destruction did not exist, there was a groundswell of disquiet in the ranks of the Armed Forces, especially the Army. It started with the medics and spread to the infantry, cavalry, artillery and supporting arms and services.

    It found a voice in the statement by the Chief of the General Staff, General Sir Richard Dannatt, that the time to get out of Iraq was 'sometime soon'.

    On a visit to Basra last December, I met old friends from earlier conflicts I had covered for the BBC. They had the gravest doubts about this one and were well aware that their lives were on the line every day for no sufficient reason.

    Many were on their third or even fourth tour of duty in Iraq. One was an officer who had seen the conflict through all its phases, from liberation to occupation, and from shock and awe to hearts and minds to a qualified cut and run.

    'I'll tell you what this feels like,' he said. 'It's like being a German in the Wehrmacht in France in the Second World War. We, too, are an occupation force. That's how it seems to me.'

    I was a soldier once, though not a very good one. Today's Army represents the best of British, as the House of Commons does not. Never in my lifetime has the Army been so overstretched and over-committed, undervalued and under-equipped, ill-directed and ill-used. This has happened on New Labour's watch.

    The new politics that we were promised back in 1997 turned out to be the old politics redecorated with bells and whistles, Cool Britannia, surfeits of spin, glittering promises and a great cascade of peerages.

    Brown has promised a clean-up and this time Labour has to be serious. That means taking the award of peerages out of the hands of the Prime Minister and other party leaders. It means a return to Cabinet government and Parliamentary accountability. There are encouraging early signs, I am pleased to say, that this is actually starting to happen.

    It means respecting or reinventing the Committee On Standards In Public Life. It means the Prime Minister visiting soldiers wounded in Iraq and Afghanistan. It means no more optional and ill-considered wars. It means no longer parking foreign policy up the Potomac. It means wiping the slate and starting all over again.

    One of the Blair Government's catchphrases, as the debacle in Iraq unfolded, was that it was time to draw a line under what had happened and move on. But lines do not just draw themselves. They have to be drawn with something.

    An obvious instrument would be an apology, supported by a detailed accounting of what went wrong and why: to track back along the trail of decision-making from 9/11 to the invasion of Iraq; to explain why the military option was chosen when others were still available, and to express at least a measure of contrition.

    It would be a waste and a tragedy if a man of such gifts as Blair, leaving office at the height of his powers, were to spend the remainder of his years in some sense embroidering a falsehood and living a lie. He has it in him, with grace and courage, to do much more than that.

    Did anyone ever do so? Yes, Robert McNamara did. Defence Secretary to Presidents John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson, and principal architect of the Vietnam War, he wrote a penitent memoir decades later in which he said: 'We were wrong, we were terribly wrong – if only we had asked more questions back then, if only we had looked at more options, perhaps there would be fewer names on the memorial wall today.'

    Step by step and surge by surge, the parallels between Vietnam and Iraq grow ever closer. But there is not yet a memorial wall to those who have died in Iraq. It is still too soon. We have no idea of the size of wall we shall need. We owe it to future generations to explain why. We cannot do so without a full accounting by those responsible.

    There is no other way.